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A Strengthening
Labour Market
Labour market conditions in
Australia are expected to strengthen over 2002-03. Australia's
recent strong economic performance has seen the unemployment
rate decline through the creation of new jobs. The unemployment
rate is expected to fall to around 6 per cent
in the June quarter 2003.
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With economic growth strengthening and
employers becoming more confident, employment is forecast
to grow by around 1 per cent in 2001-02 before
strengthening to around 1¾ per cent in
2002-03.
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employment growth set to strengthen
in 2002-03
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Between March 1996 and April 2002 the number
of people employed has risen by around 928,300 or 11.1 per cent.
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growth in jobs has been strong
under the present Government
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The moderation in employment growth following
the slowing in activity related to higher oil prices,
the completion of Y2K related expenditure and the Olympics
are now behind us. This, combined with strong GDP growth,
will enable employment growth to be around the long-run
trend over 2002-03.
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the moderation in employment
from one-off factors is behind us
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With the more positive outlook for employment
growth, the unemployment rate is expected to decline steadily
over the forecast period. This would be consistent with
previous periods where unemployment resumed a downward
trend following a brief pause.
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the unemployment rate is expected
to steadily decline
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The unemployment rate is expected to trend
down gradually over 2002-03 to around 6 per cent
by mid 2003.
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to around 6 per cent
in the June quarter 2003
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Unemployment Rate

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